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Apr 7, 2009

Obama Hits the Skids.

Approval vs disapproval to weeks end.

An interesting message from the Libertarian Party today caused me to have a look around to find out where their additional support might be coming from:

I was in the middle of writing a great Message to you this afternoon about how first-time membership in the Libertarian Party has increased every month for the last three months and we’ve seen a 151 percent increase in new volunteers. People are excited about the Libertarian Party!
A check of Rasmussen revealed:

In March, the number of Democrats in the nation fell two percentage points while the number of Republicans fell by half-a-point. Democrats continue to have a sizable advantage in terms of partisan identification, but the advantage is smaller than it’s been since December 2007.

Currently, 38.7% of Americans say they are Democrats. That’s down from 40.8% a month ago. It’s also the first time the Democratic total has slipped below the 40% mark since the Republican convention bounce last September.

There is also a report indicating a consistent fall in the Obama popularity ratings. Rasmussen's Daily Presidential Approval poll shows a consistent trend. At this rate, the lines should cross by May and his disapproval rating will be higher than his approval. By the end of last week, Obama had his lowest rating yet in the poll. Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters strongly approve of his job performance, while 32% strongly disapprove.

Going the wrong way.

Worse still their national telephone survey found that 36% of voters believe the nation is heading in the right direction, while 57% believe the nation is heading down the wrong track. While this is an improvement on the latter half of the Bush Administration, it indicates that that Obama has not markedly improved that outlook.

Bad election result.

Ad: Obama supports Scott Murphy.

The results from the election in the 20th District congressional race for the seat vacated by Kirsten Gillibrand when she was appointed to the U.S. Senate to replace Hillary Clinton has gone badly for the Democrats with a virtual dead heat and the Republican challenger ahead at this stage. The Democratic National Committee and Obama invested a lot of political capital into the special election race, launching an ad Friday highlighting President Obama's recent endorsement of Democrat Scott Murphy:

"In the worst recession in a generation, upstate New Yorkers deserve someone with the right skills to represent them in Washington," says the ad's announcer. "That's why President Obama is supporting Scott Murphy for Congress.” Just prior to this Obama sent an Email to New York Democrats explicitly endorsing Murphy. Biden and other high profile Democrats have been active as well.

There are over 6,000 absentee votes to be counted as well as an unknown number of overseas and military votes to be counted, so the result could swing around somewhat before it is finalized. Anything short of a clear and decisive Democrat win will be a blow for Obama’s prestige, and that hasn’t happened.

Failure of Organizing for America, (OFA)

In January Obama announced that his supporters were being organized into a massive grass-roots movement to bring pressure to bear to have his agenda enacted. (Democrat grass-root organizations are done from the top down, to ensure they don’t get their own ideas.) The first effort was to collect “pledges” of support to pressure Congress to pass the budget. The result of mobilizing what he regarded as his “13 million-strong grass-roots network built during his presidential campaign,” was a grand total of 214,000 signatures nationwide.

The massive Email list developed during the election campaign was tapped, resulting in 114,000 signatures, or less than a 1% response. OFA claims 640,000 signatures, but they are misleading the public and deceiving themselves, by counting the three copies of each pledge, one for the signer's House member and another two for the state senators. (Washington Post)

At this rate, in four years Obama, apart from the damage he will have done in that time, will be well on his way to being little more than an unwelcome skid-mark on the undies of history.

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