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Mar 19, 2009

Financial Crisis Explained.

Sometimes humor can get things across in ways that the various analyses cannot hope to do. I received an Email the other day, which is reprinted below the video detailing in simple terms, much of what happened. Today I was directed to the Video from the Last Laugh, George Parr,- Subprime, (Bird and Fortune.)



The financial crisis explained in simple terms.......

Heidi is the proprietor of a bar in Berlin. In order to increase sales, she decides to allow her loyal customers - most of whom are unemployed alcoholics - to drink now but pay later. She keeps track of the drinks consumed on a ledger (thereby granting the customers loans).

Word gets around and as a result increasing numbers of customers flood into Heidi's bar.

Taking advantage of her customers' freedom from immediate payment constraints, Heidi increases her prices for wine and beer, the most-consumed beverages. Her sales volume increases massively.

A young and dynamic customer service consultant at the local bank recognizes these customer debts as valuable future assets and increases Heidi's borrowing limit.

He sees no reason for undue concern since he has the debts of the alcoholics as collateral.

At the bank's corporate headquarters, expert bankers transform these customer assets into DRINKBONDS, ALKBONDS and PUKEBONDS. These securities are then traded on markets worldwide. No one really understands what these abbreviations mean and how the securities are guaranteed. Nevertheless, as their prices continuously climb, the securities become top-selling items.

One day, although the prices are still climbing, a risk manager of the bank, (subsequently of course fired due his negativity), decides that slowly the time has come to demand payment of the debts incurred by the drinkers at Heidi's bar.

However they cannot pay back the debts.

Heidi cannot fulfill her loan obligations and claims bankruptcy.

DRINKBOND and ALKBOND drop in price by 95 %. PUKEBOND performs better, stabilizing in price after dropping by 80 %.

The suppliers of Heidi's bar, having granted her generous payment due dates and having invested in the securities are faced with a new situation. Her wine supplier claims bankruptcy, her beer supplier is taken over by a competitor.

The Government following dramatic round-the-clock consultations by leaders from the governing political parties saves the bank.

The funds required for this purpose are obtained by a tax levied on the non-drinkers.

Finally an explanation I understand...

2 comments:

  1. Patrick; I've just been reading about the extra trillion going into the system. 3% fall against the Euro, gold up $50/ ounce expected to go to $2000, with $5000 possible.

    I have always had strong reservations, to put it mildly about Os intentions, but I am starting to think more on a quote from someone; "Never attribute to malice, that which can be adequately be explained by stupidity."

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