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Sep 25, 2011

Herman Cain Wins Florida straw poll.

Herman Cain has had a convincing win in the Florida Straw Poll. It was not just convincing, he handed the rest of the field a flogging:

Herman Cain: 37.11%
Governor Rick Perry: 15.43%
Governor Mitt Romney: 14%
Senator Rick Santorum: 10.88%
Congressman Ron Paul: 10.39%
Speaker Newt Gingrich: 8.43%
Governor Jon Huntsman: 2.26%
Congresswoman Michele Bachmann: 1.51%

Cain is probably the best of the ‘mainstream’ candidates, being the most convincing fiscal conservative in the race other than Johnson and Ron Paul. On social issues he tends to be conservative, however having spent his entire career outside politics, he will probably be better than the professional conservative politicians he is standing against.

Florida Governor Rick Scott predicted that the winner of the Presidency 5 Straw Poll would go on to win the GOP nomination. He based this prediction off history: every candidate to win the Republican Party of Florida's straw poll wins the GOP nomination, including Presidents Reagan and Bush!

That is probably a bit optimistic at present, there is a lot of difference between these polls and the scientific ones run by the professionals. He has however consistently led the polls on positive intensity in this cycle, meaning that where his message is heard people like it.

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